Census tract · Fairfax County

Census Tract 4527, Fairfax County, Virginia

Census Tract 4527, GEOID 51059452700, in Fairfax County, Virginia, entirely within Bailey's Crossroads. 5,166 residents in the ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates (±604); the 2020 Census counted 5,398.

Residents, 2020-2024

5,166

±604 (90% margin)
2020 Census count: 5,398

Median household income

$105,114

±$25,655 (90% margin)
Fairfax County: $153,637

Median home value

$489,100

±$37,627 (90% margin)
Fairfax County: $732,800

Median gross rent

$1,691

±$154 (90% margin)
Fairfax County: $2,276

Where is Census Tract 4527?

Census Tract 4527 is one of 274 census tracts in Fairfax County, Virginia. It covers 0.50 square miles of land, 10,796 residents per square mile in 2020. Its GEOID, 51059452700, names it uniquely (how tract numbers and GEOIDs work).

Places Census Tract 4527 lies in (share of its 2020 census blocks)
PlaceShare of the tract
Bailey's Crossroads100%
Census Tract 4527 (marked with a dot) in Fairfax County, Virginia. Boundaries: Census Bureau 2024.
4515.024516.0145184528.01 4527 0.5 mi
Census Tract 4527 (shaded) and the tracts that border it, numbered. Boundaries: Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file, 1:500,000.

4 census tracts border Census Tract 4527: Tract 4515.02 ($82,370), Tract 4516.01 ($73,125), Tract 4518 ($154,083) and Tract 4528.01 ($83,819). The figure in brackets is each tract's median household income.

Whether a tract counts as low- or moderate-income for bank lending (the Community Reinvestment Act) is set by the FFIEC against its metro area's family income: look it up in the FFIEC census geocoder.

Source: 2024 Gazetteer and 2020 block assignment files, U.S. Census Bureau · Census reference files

How many people live in Census Tract 4527?

The 2020-2024 American Community Survey puts Census Tract 4527's population at 5,166 (±604) in 2,001 households; the 2020 Census counted 5,398 residents and 2,010 housing units.

Counts, ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Measure Tract 4527Bailey's CrossroadsFairfax CountyVirginia
Total population 5,166 ±604 24,271 1,147,837 8,705,170
Households 2,001 ±192 9,494 414,101 3,365,732
Average household size 2.54 ±0.23 2.54 2.75 2.52
Housing units 2,110 ±189 10,020 430,047 3,684,756

Source: American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau (released January 2026); 2020 Census P.L. 94-171 · Check it at data.census.gov

Who lives in Census Tract 4527?

The median resident of Census Tract 4527 is 39.2 years old; 23.8% are under 18 and 14.2% are 65 or older. The largest group is non-Hispanic Black residents at 32.7%, then non-Hispanic white residents at 27.9%. 46.2% of residents were born outside the United States.

Age, origin, education, ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates. Race groups are non-Hispanic; Hispanic includes any race.
Measure Tract 4527Bailey's CrossroadsFairfax CountyVirginia
Median age 39.2 ±3.0 36.9 39.1 39.0
Under 18 years 23.8% ±5.4 pts 24.2% 22.9% 21.7%
65 years and over 14.2% ±4.3 pts 15.0% 15.0% 16.7%
Hispanic or Latino (any race) 21.2% ±8.2 pts 34.4% 17.6% 11.0%
White alone, not Hispanic 27.9% ±8.3 pts 26.3% 46.8% 58.4%
Black or African American alone, not Hispanic 32.7% ±8.4 pts 17.0% 9.4% 18.3%
Asian alone, not Hispanic 8.2% ±4.0 pts 12.2% 19.9% 6.9%
American Indian and Alaska Native alone, not Hispanic 0.0% ±0.8 pts 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander alone, not Hispanic 0.0% ±0.8 pts 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Two or more races, not Hispanic 9.7% ±4.6 pts 8.9% 5.4% 4.7%
Some other race alone, not Hispanic 0.4% ±0.5 pts 1.1% 0.8% 0.6%
Born outside the United States 46.2% ±6.1 pts 49.6% 30.8% 13.1%
Speak a language other than English at home (age 5+) 55.0% ±7.7 pts 62.2% 39.0% 17.4%
Civilian veterans (age 18+) 4.4% ±2.3 pts 4.4% 7.5% 9.4%
With a disability 10.5% ±3.4 pts 10.4% 8.0% 12.5%
No health insurance coverage 13.5% ±4.2 pts 19.4% 7.1% 6.9%
High school graduate or higher (age 25+) 81.5% ±5.6 pts 79.1% 93.2% 91.6%
Bachelor's degree or higher (age 25+) 38.9% ±7.6 pts 45.3% 65.0% 42.2%
Graduate or professional degree (age 25+) 17.6% ±5.3 pts 22.5% 33.0% 18.5%
Lived in the same house a year earlier 91.4% ±3.7 pts 87.7% 87.0% 86.9%

Source: American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau (released January 2026) (Data Profiles DP02, DP05) · Check it at data.census.gov

What do households in Census Tract 4527 earn?

Half of the 2,001 households in Census Tract 4527 earn less than $105,114 a year (±$25,655), against $153,637 across Fairfax County: 232nd highest of the county's 270 tracts with a reliable estimate. 19.0% of residents live below the poverty line.

Income and poverty in 2024 dollars, ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Measure Tract 4527Bailey's CrossroadsFairfax CountyVirginia
Median household income $105,114 ±$25,655 $88,483 $153,637 $93,170
Mean household income $121,294 ±$15,202 $114,271 $195,941 $128,260
Per capita income $47,026 ±$6,971 $45,424 $71,828 $50,666
People below the poverty line 19.0% ±7.6 pts 22.5% 5.9% 9.9%
Children under 18 below the poverty line 27.1% ±18.8 pts 34.5% 7.2% 12.3%
Households receiving SNAP 17.5% ±6.5 pts 12.4% 4.3% 9.1%
Households with a computer 98.2% ±2.1 pts 96.7% 98.4% 95.4%
Households with a broadband subscription 97.1% ±2.2 pts 89.3% 96.4% 91.0%

Source: American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau (released January 2026) (Data Profile DP03) · Check it at data.census.gov

What does housing cost in Census Tract 4527?

Owners occupy 50.9% of Census Tract 4527's occupied homes and renters 49.1%. The median owner-occupied home is valued at $489,100 by its owner (±$37,627). The median renter pays $1,691 a month including utilities, and 35.3% of renters pay 35% or more of their income on rent.

Housing, ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Measure Tract 4527Bailey's CrossroadsFairfax CountyVirginia
Median home value (owner-occupied) $489,100 ±$37,627 $416,600 $732,800 $383,700
Median gross rent $1,691 ±$154 $2,021 $2,276 $1,579
Renters paying 35% or more of income on rent 35.3% ±12.9 pts 49.5% 36.3% 39.4%
Median monthly owner costs, with a mortgage $2,738 ±$229 $2,565 $3,227 $2,127
Owner-occupied homes 50.9% ±8.9 pts 48.0% 68.6% 67.3%
Renter-occupied homes 49.1% ±8.9 pts 52.0% 31.4% 32.7%
Housing units 2,110 ±189 10,020 430,047 3,684,756
Single-family detached homes 15.6% ±5.6 pts 11.8% 45.5% 61.3%
Mobile homes 0.0% ±1.9 pts 0.2% 0.5% 4.3%
Built 2020 or later 0.0% ±1.9 pts 0.3% 1.3% 1.7%
Built 2010 to 2019 4.4% ±2.4 pts 5.2% 7.2% 9.9%
Built 1939 or earlier 5.0% ±2.8 pts 1.4% 1.1% 7.0%
Households with no vehicle 8.8% ±5.7 pts 12.7% 4.8% 6.1%

Source: American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau (released January 2026) (Data Profile DP04) · Check it at data.census.gov

How do people in Census Tract 4527 get to work?

63.4% of Census Tract 4527's workers drive alone and 13.6% work from home. The average trip to work takes 25.0 minutes.

Work and commuting, ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Measure Tract 4527Bailey's CrossroadsFairfax CountyVirginia
In the labor force (age 16+) 66.3% ±7.0 pts 68.2% 70.8% 65.4%
Unemployment rate 3.9% ±3.1 pts 8.1% 4.2% 4.3%
Drove alone to work 63.4% ±6.9 pts 49.2% 55.4% 67.6%
Carpooled 7.0% ±4.4 pts 11.7% 7.7% 8.0%
Public transportation 9.8% ±6.2 pts 11.0% 4.7% 2.3%
Walked 0.7% ±1.0 pts 3.0% 1.7% 2.1%
Worked from home 13.6% ±6.0 pts 19.1% 28.7% 18.3%
Mean travel time to work 25.0 min ±1.9 27.5 min 28.9 min 27.3 min

Source: American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau (released January 2026) (Data Profile DP03) · Check it at data.census.gov

How does Census Tract 4527 compare with the other tracts in Fairfax County?

Among Fairfax County's tracts with a reliable estimate, Census Tract 4527 ranks as shown below (1 = highest).

Census Tract 4527's rank among the tracts of Fairfax County and of Bailey's Crossroads
MeasureIn Fairfax CountyIn Bailey's Crossroads
Population80th of 2714th of 5
Residents per square mile31st of 2744th of 5
Median household income232nd of 2701st of 5
Per capita income239th of 2714th of 5
Median home value234th of 2633rd of 5
Median gross rent236th of 2485th of 5
Poverty rate8th of 704th of 5
Bachelor's degree or higher252nd of 2704th of 5
Median age156th of 2712nd of 5
Owner-occupied share215th of 2663rd of 5

The tracts next to it on Fairfax County's income ladder

Median household income, ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
TractRankMedian household incomeResidents
Tract 4809.03229th$107,222±$21,596 · within the margin of this tract4,026
Tract 4308.02230th$106,469±$16,920 · within the margin of this tract3,829
Tract 4810231st$105,651±$5,884 · within the margin of this tract7,284
Tract 4527232nd$105,114±$25,6555,166
Tract 4519233rd$104,655±$21,670 · within the margin of this tract4,483
Tract 4162234th$104,368±$8,815 · within the margin of this tract5,498
Tract 4501235th$103,365±$10,795 · within the margin of this tract7,098

"Within the margin": the two incomes differ by less than their combined 90% margins, so the survey cannot say which is higher and the ranks between them are not firm.

Source: PlainCities ranks computed from the American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau (released January 2026) · How ranks are computed

How reliable are the figures for Census Tract 4527?

Every figure for Census Tract 4527 on this page has a coefficient of variation under 40%, the Census Bureau's threshold for a usable estimate.

A census tract's figures rest on a few hundred sampled households over five years, so its margins are wider than a city's. Two tracts differ only when the gap between them is larger than their combined 90% margin (the square root of the sum of the two squared margins). How to read a margin of error.

Source: American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau (released January 2026): margins of error as published · Check it at data.census.gov

How these figures are made: methodology and release checks · reading a margin of error · every state · corrections